The dismissal of Strauss had minimal impact on the Win Expectancy. England's chances of victory went down less that 0.1 per cent. Which is just another data point in my developing case that you don't actually need a big run total from your opening pair.
Paul Brewer is writing a PhD dissertationi in history for Wilfrid Laurier University in Waterloo, Ontario. He is also an amateur sabermetrician who periodically has tried to apply sabermetric methods to cricket statistics. He can be also be found at baseballthinkfactory.org writing as 'fra paolo'.
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